A Home Playoff Game Is A Big Advantage — Unless You Play

NBA59.9+9.864.5+13.9+4.1 The NBA and NFL have the biggest regular-season home advantages, improving a team’s chance of winning by 10 and 7 percentage points, respectively. And those benefits grow even larger in the playoffs, ballooning to as high as 14 percentage points for NBA teams. NFL home teams gain almost 5 extra points of win probability in the playoffs — again, after controlling for the fact that better teams tend to get more postseason home games.In baseball and hockey, on the other hand, playing at home doesn’t get you nearly as much help. MLB teams win about 54 percent of home games whether it’s the postseason or not (so much for last licks!), and while NHL teams do a bit better at home in the regular season (55 percent), they actually see their advantage decrease slightly in the playoffs.In general, home advantage is a subject that deserves more research, simply because we’re still not entirely sure what combination of factors actually cause it. Some, like crowd noise, are obvious, while others are written into the sport’s rules (home hockey teams have the right to make the final line change before the puck drops, giving them a consistent edge in matchups). Other phenomena, like the home team getting preferential treatment by officials, still need further study. But numbers like the ones in the table above show that each sport brings its own weird nuggets to the overall topic of home-field/court/ice.Either way, after their loss Tuesday night, maybe the Rangers and their fans will take solace in being the latest case study for a fascinating natural experiment. (Probably not.) What’s home-field/court/ice worth in the postseason? LEAGUEWIN PERCENTBOOST*WIN PERCENTBOOSTPLAYOFF DIFF. NFL57.1%+7.064.7%+11.8+4.8 NHL55.1+5.155.3+4.8-0.3 When the Ottawa Senators traveled to New York to take on the Rangers in Game 6 on Tuesday night, it was fair to think the series would probably head back to Ottawa for a Game 7. The Senators got drubbed in the series’ first two contests in New York, and the nervously raucous Madison Square Garden crowd was hoping to give the Rangers a key home-ice edge in an otherwise tight series. The problem with this thinking, though, is that home-ice advantage is not much of an advantage in the NHL — and it has proven even less important in the playoffs.And so, the Rangers’ 4-2 loss at home (and playoff elimination) provided just the latest in a string of home-ice disappointments this postseason. So far, home teams are exactly .500 (33-33) in 2017, their worst playoff showing since 2012, when teams actually had a losing record at home at 39-47. Hockey home-ice isn’t actually the disadvantage that record would imply, but it’s also not the game-changer we’re used to seeing in other sports like football and basketball, where home teams have been very spoiled over the years.To measure the strength of each league’s home edge, I gathered data on every regular-season and playoff game since 2000, tracking how often the home team won. I also used our Elo ratings1Or, in the case of the NHL, Hockey-Reference.com’s Simple Rating System (SRS). to calculate an “expected” winning percentage for each game — based on the quality of the two teams — had the matchup been staged at a neutral site. (This isn’t important for the regular season, because every team is scheduled for roughly equal home and road games. But in the playoffs, better teams are rewarded with more home games, a factor for which we must control.)Comparing home teams’ actual winning percentages to what we’d expect on neutral ground, we can see how much of a boost teams get by being at home in each sport. We can also see how that boost changes from the regular season to the playoffs — if indeed there is a change. HOME TEAMS IN REG. SEASONHOME TEAMS IN PLAYOFFS MLB54.0+4.054.2+4.0+0.0 Percentage point change from home team’s expected win percentage at a neutral location. In the playoffs, better teams are awarded more home games, so expected home win percentage is higher than 50 percent.Source: Sports-Reference.com read more

Matt Beard admits side couldnt have defeated Manchester United

first_imgWest Ham coach Matt Beard says his team’s performance wouldn’t have given room for defeating Manchester United in the Continental Tyres Cup quarter-finals.Manchester United progressed into the last four of the competition having beaten West Ham United at the Leigh Sports Village Stadium on Wednesday.“Over the course of the game, we didn’t deserve to win,” Beard told West Ham TV.  “Manchester United deserved to go through. I felt that they were the better team tonight. They created the better chances and they were quicker to the second balls, and for me that is frustrating.“We know we are struggling numbers-wise. We’ve been training with about 12 players for around three months. We had a three-week break and now we’re playing three games in seven days. We’ve lost Simic and Kiernan, and that’s not ideal for these big games.Harry Maguire, Manchester UnitedSolskjaer praises Harry Maguire after Man United’s 1-0 win Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Ole Gunnar Solskjaer singled out Harry Maguire for praise after helping Manchester United keep a clean sheet in their 1-0 win over Leicester City.“None of that is an excuse though, because we didn’t really deserve it. They deserved it and we’ve got to take that on the chin.”He continued: “I feel frustrated. I felt we did okay in the first half, but it was a frustrating first goal to concede because we worked on this in training after what happened against Arsenal.“I think we grew into the game. We did better in the last 20 minutes of the first half, and had a great chance to equalise, although Siobhan Chamberlain has made a great save.“The second goal changed the course of the game. I looked at the incident and I think it should be a free-kick on Kate Longhurst, but it’s gone against us. After that the game is gone, and for me that’s frustrating.”last_img read more

Brazil fans accused of hacking Argentina supporter

first_imgFansEight people have been sued for attacking a young man and his wife in Khulna over their support to two different Latin American football teams.The police said an attempt to murder case was registered with Daulatpur police station on Tuesday, implicating eight Brazil fans, reports UNB.According to the case statement, clashes took place between Argentina and Brazil supporters over the ongoing Russia World Cup after both Argentina and Brail ended their first respective matches with draws.When Argentina’s first match ended in a draw on Saturday, Brazil supporters from Mashsherpara started to ridicule the Argentina supporters.And the next day, when Brazil too ended up with a draw as well, their supporters were met with a similar response.The statement said on Monday morning, Brazil supporters swooped on Argentina supporter Shukur Hawlader with sharp weapons. When his wife Minu tried to come to his aid, she was injured in the struggle as well.The victims were then admitted to Khulna Medical College Hospital.Dhalu Sheikh, a relative of the victim, filed the case with the police early Tuesday, said Kazi Mostak Ahmed, officer-in-charge of Doulatpur police station.The accused are: Liton, 25, Kalam, 32, Mona, 22, Rony, 24, Firoz, 22, Yeasin, 22, Bacchu, 30 and Roky, 24, of Maheshwarpara in the upazila.However, no one was arrested till filing of this report on Wednesday, said investigation officer of the case Sub-inspector Shahinur Rahman.last_img read more

ICC forms pretrial chamber on atrocities against Rohingyas

first_imgThe International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague, Netherlands. Photo: AFPThe International Criminal Court (ICC) has constituted pre-trial Chamber-III demonstrating further progress over ongoing process to look into the atrocities committed against the Rohingyas, reports UNB.The chamber is composed of judge Robert Fremr, judge Olga Herrera Carbuccia and judge Geoffrey Henderson , according to a media release issued by ICC on Wednesday.This decision follows a notice by the ICC prosecutor Fatou Bensouda informing the presidency of her intention to submit a request for an authorisation to open an investigation into this situation.Bangladesh is now hosting over 1.2 million Rohingyas and most of them entered Bangladesh since 25 August , 2017 amid military crackdown on them in Rakhine state of Myanmar.The prosecutor has notified judges that she will seek an authorisation “to investigate alleged crimes within the court’s jurisdiction in which at least one element occurred on the territory of Bangladesh – a state party to the Rome Statute since 1 June 2010 – and within the context of two waves of violence in Rakhine state on the territory of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, as well as any other crimes which are sufficiently linked to these events”.Once the prosecutor submits her request, it will then be for the judges of Pre-Trial Chamber III to decide whether or not to authorise the prosecutor to open an investigation into the situation.The judges will have to consider whether there is a reasonable basis to proceed with an investigation, upon examination of the prosecutor’s request and the supporting material.On 6 September 2018, following a request submitted by the prosecutor pursuant to article 19(3) of the statute, ICC Pre-Trial Chamber I decided by majority that the court may exercise jurisdiction over the alleged deportation of the Rohingya people from Myanmar occurred on the territory of Myanmar to Bangladesh.On 18 September 2018, the prosecutor announced the opening of a preliminary examination concerning the alleged deportation of the Rohingya people from Myanmar to Bangladesh.last_img read more

Narcissists not as big risk takers as thought

first_img“I thought that narcissists, given that they are impulsive and have high opinions of themselves, would take bigger risks. That is what other research would have suggested,” said study lead author Amy Brunell, associate professor of psychology at The Ohio State University at Mansfield, US.“But any association between narcissism and risk-taking that we found was very small and essentially meaningless,” Brunell noted. One explanation for the discrepancy may be the fact that many of the studies linking narcissism and risk-taking were based on self-reports: Essentially, narcissists saying that they took risks in certain situations. Also Read – ‘Playing Jojo was emotionally exhausting’But self-reports may not be the best way to measure risk-taking for this group, Brunell said, “When they are asked, narcissists may brag about taking big risks because they are showing off,” she said. “But their own behaviour in our experiments does not support their claims about being risk-takers,” she pointed out.The researchers conducted three experiments involving a total of 936 undergraduate students. They looked specifically at three narcissistic traits such as grandiosity, entitlement and exploitativeness — to determine if any of them might have links to risky decision-making. Also Read – Leslie doing new comedy special with NetflixParticipants completed a variety of decision-making tasks to measure risk-taking. In one task, the students played a computer game in which they pumped up 30 balloons, earning five cents for each pump until they decided to stop. But if the balloon popped, they lost all the money.In these and other tasks, the researchers wanted to know how much people who score high on narcissism were willing to risk compared to those who scored lower. The results appeared online in the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.last_img read more

WB govt committed to reducing road accidents Mamata

first_imgKolkata: The West Bengal government is committed to curbing traffic offences, its initiatives have significantly reduced road accidents in the state, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee asserted on Sunday. On the occasion of ‘World Day of Remembrance for Road Traffic Victims’, the CM said her campaign – ‘Safe Drive, Save Life’ – has earned the praise of the Supreme Court. “Today is World Day of Remembrance for Road Traffic Victims. Our government is committed towards reducing incidents of road accidents in #Bangla. Our #SafeDriveSaveLife campaign has reduced such incidents significantly, earning praise of the Supreme Court,” Banerjee tweeted. The state government launched the campaign in 2016 as part of its initiatives to inculcate a “sense of safe driving and responsible road behaviour” among people. The World Day of Remembrance for Road Traffic Victims is observed on the third Sunday of November every year in memory of millions of people who died in road crashes and their families.last_img read more