A Home Playoff Game Is A Big Advantage — Unless You Play

NBA59.9+9.864.5+13.9+4.1 The NBA and NFL have the biggest regular-season home advantages, improving a team’s chance of winning by 10 and 7 percentage points, respectively. And those benefits grow even larger in the playoffs, ballooning to as high as 14 percentage points for NBA teams. NFL home teams gain almost 5 extra points of win probability in the playoffs — again, after controlling for the fact that better teams tend to get more postseason home games.In baseball and hockey, on the other hand, playing at home doesn’t get you nearly as much help. MLB teams win about 54 percent of home games whether it’s the postseason or not (so much for last licks!), and while NHL teams do a bit better at home in the regular season (55 percent), they actually see their advantage decrease slightly in the playoffs.In general, home advantage is a subject that deserves more research, simply because we’re still not entirely sure what combination of factors actually cause it. Some, like crowd noise, are obvious, while others are written into the sport’s rules (home hockey teams have the right to make the final line change before the puck drops, giving them a consistent edge in matchups). Other phenomena, like the home team getting preferential treatment by officials, still need further study. But numbers like the ones in the table above show that each sport brings its own weird nuggets to the overall topic of home-field/court/ice.Either way, after their loss Tuesday night, maybe the Rangers and their fans will take solace in being the latest case study for a fascinating natural experiment. (Probably not.) What’s home-field/court/ice worth in the postseason? LEAGUEWIN PERCENTBOOST*WIN PERCENTBOOSTPLAYOFF DIFF. NFL57.1%+7.064.7%+11.8+4.8 NHL55.1+5.155.3+4.8-0.3 When the Ottawa Senators traveled to New York to take on the Rangers in Game 6 on Tuesday night, it was fair to think the series would probably head back to Ottawa for a Game 7. The Senators got drubbed in the series’ first two contests in New York, and the nervously raucous Madison Square Garden crowd was hoping to give the Rangers a key home-ice edge in an otherwise tight series. The problem with this thinking, though, is that home-ice advantage is not much of an advantage in the NHL — and it has proven even less important in the playoffs.And so, the Rangers’ 4-2 loss at home (and playoff elimination) provided just the latest in a string of home-ice disappointments this postseason. So far, home teams are exactly .500 (33-33) in 2017, their worst playoff showing since 2012, when teams actually had a losing record at home at 39-47. Hockey home-ice isn’t actually the disadvantage that record would imply, but it’s also not the game-changer we’re used to seeing in other sports like football and basketball, where home teams have been very spoiled over the years.To measure the strength of each league’s home edge, I gathered data on every regular-season and playoff game since 2000, tracking how often the home team won. I also used our Elo ratings1Or, in the case of the NHL, Hockey-Reference.com’s Simple Rating System (SRS). to calculate an “expected” winning percentage for each game — based on the quality of the two teams — had the matchup been staged at a neutral site. (This isn’t important for the regular season, because every team is scheduled for roughly equal home and road games. But in the playoffs, better teams are rewarded with more home games, a factor for which we must control.)Comparing home teams’ actual winning percentages to what we’d expect on neutral ground, we can see how much of a boost teams get by being at home in each sport. We can also see how that boost changes from the regular season to the playoffs — if indeed there is a change. HOME TEAMS IN REG. SEASONHOME TEAMS IN PLAYOFFS MLB54.0+4.054.2+4.0+0.0 Percentage point change from home team’s expected win percentage at a neutral location. In the playoffs, better teams are awarded more home games, so expected home win percentage is higher than 50 percent.Source: Sports-Reference.com read more

Water main break in North Park causes flooding

first_imgWater main break in North Park causes flooding KUSI Newsroom SAN DIEGO (KUSI) – North Park residents were dealing with flooding after a water main break today, and as public utility crews worked to repair it, about 70 homes were without water.The broken pipe was reported in the area of Myrtle and Arnold avenues at about 8:30 a.m. Sunday. Water flowed toward homes in the 3400 block of Arizona Street, according to police.San Diego Public Utilities Department crews shut down the water main at 9:30 a.m. Service is expected to be restored by 4 p.m. July 7, 2019 Posted: July 7, 2019 KUSI Newsroom, Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwitterlast_img read more

IDG Communications CEO Steps Down

first_imgMichael FriedenbergMichael Friedenberg is stepping down from his role as CEO of IDG Global Communications after 12 years with the company, effective immediately, IDG announced today.Friedenberg’s four year tenure as CEO was one of persistent change for IDG — whose brands include CIO, ComputerWorld, PCWorld, and MacWorld — as it evolved from a traditional publishing model to a more centralized, global business information organization, focused its growing data and marketing services businesses. He helped steer the company through both the passing of founder and longtime chairman Patrick McGovern, in 2014, and the eventual sale to China Oceanwide Holdings Group for about $1 billion, a deal made official earlier this year.Indications that the company was going through some transitional pains then popped up in May, when a mass round of at least 90 layoffs hit both senior-level executives and staffers at all four of the above-mentioned titles.In a statement, the company said the cuts were the cost of IDG’s ongoing transformation “from a decentralized and complicated organization to navigate and do business with into a globally streamlined company that provides the greatest possible value and best possible experience to our readers and customers.” Kumaran Ramanathan“The timing was right for me to step down from this position, given IDG’s overall health, strong leadership team and a desire to be closer to my family,” Friedenberg said in a statement. “IDG has a very bright future ahead thanks to the talent, passion, and commitment to excellence of our employees around the world, coupled with the incredible leadership and financial resources that China Oceanwide offers.”China Oceanwide has kept things internal to replace Friedenberg, naming Kumaran Ramanathan president of IDG Communications, effective immediately. Ramanathan until now held the role of CEO of IDG Global Services, a group that oversees IDG’s Global Solutions, Strategic Marketing Services, Corporate Sales, and Research divisions. Altogether, he’s been with the company for nine years.“I am honored by today’s announcement,” added Ramanathan in the statement. “I was fortunate to have worked with Michael for many years as he led the company through the unexpected passing of our Founder Pat McGovern and transformed the company to become the world’s largest technology media, data and marketing services company.”last_img read more